Hannah Phung, a lead analyst at on-chain analytics platform SpotOnChain, not too long ago gave her opinion on the influence that Bitcoin Halving may have on the flaghsip crypto’s value. This provides to the continuing debate on whether or not or not the Halving occasion may trigger Bitcoin’s value to rise to $100,000. 

Bitcoin’s Worth Surge Would possibly Not Come Instantly

Phung talked about throughout an interview with BeInCrypto that Bitcoin’s value tends to extend round 6 to 12 months after the Halving and never instantly. That is evident from the previous Halving occasions, as Bitcoin’s important value positive aspects happened one yr after the Halving had occurred. After the primary Halving on November 28, 2021, Bitcoin noticed a value improve of over 8,000% one yr after the occasion.

Supply: Milk Street

In the meantime, BTC noticed a value improve of 284% and 559% one yr after the second and third Halving occasions, which came about on July 9, 2016, and Might 11, 2020, respectively. Phung additional famous that Bitcoin’s value positive aspects come from the discount in Bitcoin miners’ provide, which helps improve shortage and drive up its value, particularly when demand is steady. 

In February, NewsBTC reported that Bitcoin’s demand was far outpacing the miners’ provide. This led to a number of crypto analysts making bullish predictions that Bitcoin’s value may improve exponentially when miners’ rewards are additional minimize in half later this month. One such analyst was MacronautBTC, who raised the opportunity of Bitcoin rising to $237,000. 

This Bitcoin Halving May Be Completely different

Regardless of the crypto market being identified to observe historic patterns, Phung emphasised that the market will also be unpredictable, opening the opportunity of this Halving being completely different from previous ones. Furthermore, this cycle has already confirmed completely different, contemplating that for the primary time, Bitcoin hit a new all-time excessive (ATH) earlier than the Halving. 

Moreover, the analyst acknowledged that the Bitcoin market is “a lot bigger and extra established in comparison with earlier halvings.” Nonetheless, Phung nonetheless expects a value improve after the halving, though she admitted that the precise timing is unsure, that means it might be earlier and even later than traditional. 

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital additionally echoed an identical sentiment about how issues might be completely different this cycle when he shared his evaluation of the 5 phases of the Bitcoin Halving. Particularly, he said that the Re-accumulation section “could not final very lengthy earlier than further uptrend continuation” since that is the primary time the Re-accumulation vary might be round a brand new ATH. 

Market Sentiment May Decide Bitcoin’s Worth Submit-Halving

Phung additionally elaborated on how the market sentiment after the halving may present insights into Bitcoin’s future trajectory. She predicts that crypto traders will seemingly be bullish as soon as the halving takes place, contemplating the importance of the occasion on Bitcoin’s provide. 

Nonetheless, as soon as the thrill in regards to the halving wears off, a number of metrics, reminiscent of value charts, buying and selling quantity, social media discussions, and on-chain information like lively addresses or change provide, will have to be analyzed to find out whether or not or not traders are nonetheless bullish. 

In the meantime, Phung prompt that the worth surge that happens instantly after the Bitcoin halving will not be shortlived this time round since extra institutional traders at the moment are concerned and have helped create a “extra mature market.”

BTC value rises to $70,700 | Supply: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com