Solana (SOL) has been making optimistic noise not too long ago with a surge in its value. Nonetheless, one crypto strategist often known as Altcoin Sherpa on the social media platform X, believes that the euphoria could also be short-lived. 

Regardless of final week’s notable rally, Altcoin Sherpa argues that Solana continues to be trapped in a downtrend, casting doubts on the sustainability of its present momentum.

Altcoin Sherpa factors out a crucial resistance degree at roughly $19.50 that Solana should overcome to alter its trajectory. The crypto analyst highlights a regarding sample: Solana has been persistently forming decrease highs since reaching its 2023 peak of $32.30 again in July. This sample suggests that every tried rally has been met with rising promoting strain, elevating questions concerning the energy of the latest restoration.

Altcoin Sherpa advises warning for these contemplating getting into the market, stating:

“It’s good to see some restoration, however each rally in the previous few weeks has resulted in only a decrease excessive. Regardless, should you’re in it for an funding, it could actually’t be dangerous to build up sub-$20.”

At present, Solana is buying and selling at $19.12, in accordance with CoinGecko, displaying a modest 1.1% achieve within the final 24 hours and a seven-day rally of 4.5%.

Solana Assist Hinges On FTX Liquidation

Within the occasion that SOL’s newest rally loses steam, Altcoin Sherpa identifies the $14 degree as a possible assist zone. Nonetheless, he underscores a vital issue that would affect Solana’s destiny within the brief time period—the upcoming liquidation of an enormous Solana stash held by the troubled crypto change FTX, amounting to a staggering $1.16 billion. The result of this liquidation might considerably impression Solana’s value stability.

SOL market cap at the moment at $8.08 billion. Chart: TradingView.com

Supporting Altcoin Sherpa’s bearish outlook is an evaluation of key technical indicators. The Relative Power Index (RSI) is indicating a decline in momentum, hinting at a possible downturn for Solana. Moreover, the Superior Oscillator (AO) has ventured into the detrimental territory, offering extra validation for the bearish sentiment.

If promoting strain continues to accentuate, Solana’s value might take a look at the psychological degree of $18.00, hovering across the midline of its present buying and selling channel. In a extra dire state of affairs, SOL might plunge even additional to achieve the decrease boundary of the channel at $17.29.

The amount of lengthy positions which have already been liquidated is 45 instances that of brief positions, in accordance with the liquidation statistics offered by CoinGlass.

Supply: Coinglass

Potential Turning Level

Nonetheless, there’s a glimmer of hope for Solana buyers. Within the worst-case state of affairs, if the downtrend persists, Solana’s value might ultimately discover assist within the demand zone, marked by the final candlestick earlier than the exceptional July uptrend started. This space tends to draw patrons and may function a possible turning level for SOL’s fortunes.

Whereas Solana’s latest rally has generated pleasure, warning is suggested, as technical indicators and market dynamics level in the direction of a attainable continuation of the downtrend. The crypto world stays as unpredictable as ever, and buyers ought to fastidiously think about their choices earlier than diving in.

(This website’s content material shouldn’t be construed as funding recommendation. Investing entails threat. Once you make investments, your capital is topic to threat).

Featured picture from Adobe Inventory